Data centers took a beating in the midterm elections. A reckoning may be ahead for tech giants

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HARRISBURG, Pa. – The recent midterm elections have significantly shifted the political landscape regarding data centers in the United States. With a wave of newly elected Democrats pledging to address the concerns surrounding these energy-intensive facilities, a more stringent regulatory environment is anticipated for both data center developers and artificial intelligence giants.

Despite the fact that data center regulation was not a prominent issue on most midterm ballots, many candidates incorporated strong opposition to these facilities into their campaigns. This stance resonated particularly well with voters in states that have seen a rise in data center development, such as Texas, Ohio, Georgia, Nevada, and Iowa—all states that recently flipped to Democratic control.

Concerns about the impact of data centers on local electricity prices and water supplies were central to many campaigns. For instance, newly elected Texas Agriculture Commissioner Clayton Tucker highlighted the fears of ranchers regarding dwindling water resources, stating, “You know, there’s an old saying around here that ‘whiskey’s for drinking and water’s for fighting.’ And that’s exactly what happened.”

The influence of data centers was evident in campaign advertisements, where over $380 million was spent on television ads referencing this issue, with Democrats outspending Republicans by more than three to one.

The electoral victories for Democrats, including significant wins in gubernatorial races, suggest that stricter regulations on data centers could soon become a reality. Data Center Watch, a project of AI security consultancy 10a Labs, found that a vast majority of winning candidates expressed support for enhanced regulation or even a moratorium on new developments. Notably, 32 of the 34 victorious gubernatorial candidates in relevant races supported stronger regulations, with several advocating for outright bans.

In Wisconsin, for example, Governor-elect David Crowley shifted his position to support a moratorium on data centers under pressure from his opponent. He now advocates for measures such as requiring developers to disclose their water and energy consumption and ensuring community support before projects can proceed.

The data center industry is responding to these challenges. OpenAI has recently published a framework that emphasizes the importance of community engagement and responsible investment in data center projects, advocating for clear rules that protect residents and ensure benefits are shared broadly.

Industry officials recognize the need to rebuild trust with public officials and communities. Dan Diorio from the Data Center Coalition acknowledged that while there may be a push for moratoriums, there are potential economic consequences, such as communities missing out on tax revenues that data centers could provide.

Market analysts are expressing concern about the implications of these election results. The Nasdaq, which hosts many AI-related stocks, has recently shown volatility due to fears that increased regulations could slow down data center construction, a critical driver of economic growth in the U.S.

Furthermore, local elections have also reflected a growing skepticism towards data centers. According to polling and data science firm Redbud Consulting, voters in local referendums overwhelmingly supported restrictions on data center development, with 44 out of 45 elections resulting in favorable outcomes for such measures.

Public sentiment appears to be against new data centers, with about three-quarters of U.S. voters opposing their construction in their communities, as reported by The AP Voter Poll. This opposition transcends political lines, indicating widespread concern regarding the implications of data centers on local resources.

As Texas is poised to become the largest global data center market by 2030, the stakes are particularly high. Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa has made it clear that she will block data center permits unless they provide substantial benefits to Texans, contrasting sharply with her predecessor’s pro-data center stance.

In conclusion, the midterm elections have set the stage for a comprehensive reevaluation of data center policies across several states. As new leaders take office, the future of data centers—and their impact on local communities—remains uncertain. It is clear, however, that the voices of constituents will play a crucial role in shaping the policies that govern these energy-intensive operations.

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Associated Press reporters Scott Bauer in Madison, Wisconsin, Kaitlyn Huamani in Los Angeles, and Linley Sanders in Washington contributed to this report.

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Follow Marc Levy at http://x.com/timelywriter.

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