NEW YORK – In a recent admission, the Trump administration acknowledged a significant error in the figures it previously used to justify a fraud investigation into New York’s Medicaid program. This mistake raises questions about the integrity of the federal effort to combat waste and fraud, particularly in Democratic-led states.
The error, first reported by The Associated Press, has prompted health analysts to reflect on the broader implications of the administration’s anti-fraud initiatives across the nation. Critics have pointed out that this incident reflects a troubling tendency within the Trump administration to make bold claims without thorough fact-checking.
Michael Kinnucan, a senior health policy adviser at the Fiscal Policy Institute, remarked, “These numbers could have been cleared up in a phone call, so it’s really slapdash.” This sentiment encapsulates the frustration felt by many experts in the wake of the administration’s misleading claims.
The controversy erupted following comments made by Dr. Mehmet Oz, the administrator of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), who claimed in a social media video that New York’s Medicaid program had provided personal care services to approximately 5 million individuals last year. This figure, if true, would mean that nearly three-fourths of the state’s 6.8 million Medicaid enrollees were receiving these services.
However, the actual number of beneficiaries utilizing such services was around 450,000, representing only about 6% to 7% of total enrollees. CMS spokesman Chris Krepich later clarified that the agency had misidentified New York’s billing practices and was revising its methodology.
Krepich emphasized, “CMS is committed to ensuring its analyses fully reflect state-specific billing practices and will continue to work closely with New York to validate data and strengthen program integrity oversight.” Despite this admission, the probe into New York’s Medicaid program remains active, as the administration continues to express concerns regarding oversight and spending.
Health analysts have pointed out that New York’s high spending on Medicaid is indicative of both the high costs of services in the state and a policy choice emphasizing robust at-home care. Cadence Acquaviva, a senior public information officer for the New York Department of Health, criticized Oz’s claims as a “targeted attempt to obscure the facts.”
In response to the misleading claims, a spokesperson for New York Governor Kathy Hochul asserted, “The initial claim by CMS was patently false, and we are glad they now admit it.” Hochul has reiterated the state’s commitment to rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse within Medicaid and other state programs.
Wider Implications of the Investigation
This investigation is part of a broader anti-fraud initiative by the Trump administration, which has also targeted at least four other states, including California, Florida, Maine, and Minnesota. As the midterm elections approach, the administration’s focus on Medicaid fraud aligns with the growing concerns among voters regarding healthcare affordability.
In a recent executive order, Trump established an anti-fraud task force across federal benefit programs, led by Vice President JD Vance. This task force has already resulted in significant actions, including the temporary suspension of $243 million in Medicaid funding to Minnesota, a decision that has led the state to file a lawsuit against the federal government.
Kinnucan expressed concern that the administration’s adversarial approach to addressing fraud could politicize a crucial issue that should involve collaboration among all stakeholders. “We want to think collaboratively among all the stakeholders in the program about how we can actually fix it,” he stated. “We don’t want to have fraud be this political football.”
Claims Under Scrutiny
In addition to the misleading statistics, Oz made other statements about New York’s Medicaid program that have been challenged by advocates and beneficiaries. For instance, he claimed that the state had recently relaxed its screening criteria for personal care eligibility, allowing individuals with issues like “being easily distracted” to qualify for assistance. In contrast, Rebecca Antar, director of the health law unit at the Legal Aid Society, confirmed that recent changes had actually made the eligibility requirements more stringent.
Krepich acknowledged that Oz’s comments referred to whether New York’s standards for personal care services were sufficiently rigorous, highlighting the need for a careful balance between accessibility and ensuring that resources are allocated to those with the highest needs.
Oz’s characterization of personal care services as tasks that families would typically perform, such as carrying groceries, has also drawn criticism. Kathleen Downes, a 33-year-old individual with quadriplegic cerebral palsy, voiced her frustration over the assumption that families can always provide such care. She explained the complexities of her situation, where she hires both her mother and outside aides to meet her personal care needs, emphasizing that not everyone has family support available.
“He’s assuming that everybody wants to and can just do it for free forever,” Downes remarked. “And that’s not feasible for a lot of people.”
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Associated Press writer Anthony Izaguirre contributed to this story.

